Europa League
AZ Alkmaar
Gastgeber
VS
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Gast
15.10.2026 16:45
Heimsieg
1.22
Unentschieden
5.75
Auswärtssieg
12.00
KI-Prognose
1: 76%
X: 16%
2: 8%
Goals over 2.5: 56%
Goals under 2.5: 44%
Corners over 9.5: 54%
Corners under 9.5: 46%
Cards over 5: 34%
Cards under 5: 66%
Penalty: 16-20%
**Brief explanation (key factors):**
- **Squad strength / baseline quality:** AZ Alkmaar generally rate higher in overall squad depth, league level, and home performance profile than Hapoel Be’er Sheva. That gap typically shows most in “league-phase” European games where AZ can control territory and chances.
- **Match type:** The data indicates a **competitive official match** (league-phase, matchday 2), which reduces experimentation and increases the likelihood the stronger side fields a close-to-best XI.
- **Injuries / suspensions:** No confirmed referee info and no injury list provided here; therefore this forecast assumes **no major unexpected absences**. Any late key AZ absences would mainly shift probability from “1” toward “X”.
- **Home advantage / travel / fatigue:** AZ at home plus Hapoel’s **long travel** to the Netherlands and an October schedule usually favors the host in intensity and pressing.
- **Form & H2H:** No head-to-head or recent form data is provided in the feed; the estimate leans on structural strength + home edge rather than trend-based adjustments.
- **Motivation / standings:** Early league-phase points are valuable; AZ are heavily incentivized to secure the expected home win without taking excessive risks.
- **Rotation risks:** Some rotation is possible (depending on domestic calendar), but with strong odds and an official setting, a full “B team” is unlikely—more likely partial rotation that still keeps AZ as clear favorite.
- **Bookmaker odds:** The odds (1: **1.22**, X: **5.75**, 2: **12.00**) imply a very strong home favorite; the 76% home-win probability broadly aligns with that market signal while allowing some draw/away upset chance.
X: 16%
2: 8%
Goals over 2.5: 56%
Goals under 2.5: 44%
Corners over 9.5: 54%
Corners under 9.5: 46%
Cards over 5: 34%
Cards under 5: 66%
Penalty: 16-20%
**Brief explanation (key factors):**
- **Squad strength / baseline quality:** AZ Alkmaar generally rate higher in overall squad depth, league level, and home performance profile than Hapoel Be’er Sheva. That gap typically shows most in “league-phase” European games where AZ can control territory and chances.
- **Match type:** The data indicates a **competitive official match** (league-phase, matchday 2), which reduces experimentation and increases the likelihood the stronger side fields a close-to-best XI.
- **Injuries / suspensions:** No confirmed referee info and no injury list provided here; therefore this forecast assumes **no major unexpected absences**. Any late key AZ absences would mainly shift probability from “1” toward “X”.
- **Home advantage / travel / fatigue:** AZ at home plus Hapoel’s **long travel** to the Netherlands and an October schedule usually favors the host in intensity and pressing.
- **Form & H2H:** No head-to-head or recent form data is provided in the feed; the estimate leans on structural strength + home edge rather than trend-based adjustments.
- **Motivation / standings:** Early league-phase points are valuable; AZ are heavily incentivized to secure the expected home win without taking excessive risks.
- **Rotation risks:** Some rotation is possible (depending on domestic calendar), but with strong odds and an official setting, a full “B team” is unlikely—more likely partial rotation that still keeps AZ as clear favorite.
- **Bookmaker odds:** The odds (1: **1.22**, X: **5.75**, 2: **12.00**) imply a very strong home favorite; the 76% home-win probability broadly aligns with that market signal while allowing some draw/away upset chance.