FA Cup
Wealdstone
Gastgeber
VS
Worthing FC
Gast
17.10.2026 14:00
Heimsieg
2.36
Unentschieden
3.54
Auswärtssieg
2.55
KI-Prognose
1: 38%
X: 27%
2: 35%
Goals over 2.5: 56%
Goals under 2.5: 44%
Corners over 9.5: 57%
Corners under 9.5: 43%
Cards over 5: 22%
Cards under 5: 78%
Penalty: 15-20%
**Brief explanation:**
- **Squad strength / baseline quality:** Wealdstone (typically National League level) vs Worthing (often a step below in the pyramid) suggests a slight structural edge for Wealdstone, but not a big gap—hence a fairly balanced 1X2.
- **Match type / motivation:** “Qualification Round 4” indicates an **official knockout-style qualifier**, which usually increases intensity and reduces “friendly-like” rotation, though some managed changes are still possible.
- **Injuries/suspensions:** No reliable injury/suspension list is provided here, so this is treated as **unknown** and not baked in as a strong directional factor.
- **Home advantage / travel / fatigue:** Home advantage nudges Wealdstone upward, but the odds and recent result imply Worthing travel is not a major deterrent. Without travel-distance and schedule data, fatigue impact is assumed **moderate/neutral**.
- **H2H & form signal:** The only listed H2H is very recent (Worthing 1–0 Wealdstone), supporting Worthing’s competitiveness and pulling the away win probability up.
- **Bookmaker odds (key driver):** The market is tight (2.36 / 3.54 / 2.55), implying near-coinflip between home and away with a moderate draw chance. Converted/normalized, this aligns closely with **38/27/35**.
- **Goals:** Over 2.5 is slightly favored (market over 2.5 at 1.55) and BTTS “Yes” is short (1.46), supporting a game with decent scoring potential rather than a low-block stalemate.
- **Corners/cards/penalty:** Corners lean over 9.5 given typical non-league tempo and crossing volume; cards are projected low-to-moderate (not a derby, referee unknown). Penalty probability kept in the common **15–20%** range.
X: 27%
2: 35%
Goals over 2.5: 56%
Goals under 2.5: 44%
Corners over 9.5: 57%
Corners under 9.5: 43%
Cards over 5: 22%
Cards under 5: 78%
Penalty: 15-20%
**Brief explanation:**
- **Squad strength / baseline quality:** Wealdstone (typically National League level) vs Worthing (often a step below in the pyramid) suggests a slight structural edge for Wealdstone, but not a big gap—hence a fairly balanced 1X2.
- **Match type / motivation:** “Qualification Round 4” indicates an **official knockout-style qualifier**, which usually increases intensity and reduces “friendly-like” rotation, though some managed changes are still possible.
- **Injuries/suspensions:** No reliable injury/suspension list is provided here, so this is treated as **unknown** and not baked in as a strong directional factor.
- **Home advantage / travel / fatigue:** Home advantage nudges Wealdstone upward, but the odds and recent result imply Worthing travel is not a major deterrent. Without travel-distance and schedule data, fatigue impact is assumed **moderate/neutral**.
- **H2H & form signal:** The only listed H2H is very recent (Worthing 1–0 Wealdstone), supporting Worthing’s competitiveness and pulling the away win probability up.
- **Bookmaker odds (key driver):** The market is tight (2.36 / 3.54 / 2.55), implying near-coinflip between home and away with a moderate draw chance. Converted/normalized, this aligns closely with **38/27/35**.
- **Goals:** Over 2.5 is slightly favored (market over 2.5 at 1.55) and BTTS “Yes” is short (1.46), supporting a game with decent scoring potential rather than a low-block stalemate.
- **Corners/cards/penalty:** Corners lean over 9.5 given typical non-league tempo and crossing volume; cards are projected low-to-moderate (not a derby, referee unknown). Penalty probability kept in the common **15–20%** range.