FA Cup
FC Halifax Town
Gastgeber
VS
South Shields
Gast
17.10.2026 14:00
Heimsieg
2.13
Unentschieden
3.59
Auswärtssieg
2.81
KI-Prognose
1: 44%
X: 27%
2: 29%
Goals over 2.5: 57%
Goals under 2.5: 43%
Corners over 9.5: 56%
Corners under 9.5: 44%
Cards over 5: 28%
Cards under 5: 72%
Penalty: 15-20%
**Brief explanation (key factors):**
- **Squad strength / baseline quality:** Halifax Town are typically the higher-tier side and at home should have a slight quality edge, but South Shields are a strong non-league opponent capable of competing in one-off cup ties—hence only a modest home advantage.
- **Match type:** This is an **official knockout qualification-round match**, which generally increases intensity and reduces “experimental” play compared to friendlies, but still allows some rotation depending on league priorities.
- **Injuries / suspensions:** No reliable, confirmed absentee list is provided here; treat team news as a major uncertainty that can move probabilities close to kick-off.
- **Home advantage / travel / fatigue:** Halifax benefit from home conditions and simpler logistics. With no schedule data supplied, fatigue is assumed average; cup weeks can still trigger light rotation.
- **Form / head-to-head:** No head-to-head or recent-form dataset is included, so the model leans more on **team level + market odds** than trend-based adjustments.
- **Motivation / importance:** Qualification rounds are high-leverage; underdogs tend to play aggressively, which supports **BTTS tendency** and pushes **over 2.5** slightly above 50%.
- **Rotation / structural risks:** Potential rotation (especially if either side has a congested league calendar) is a risk; it increases variance and keeps the draw/away upset chances meaningful.
- **Bookmaker odds:** The 1X2 prices imply a **narrow Halifax edge**, and goal lines indicate a **moderately open game** (over 2.5 favored). My probabilities broadly track the market with a small adjustment for cup-variance and underdog competitiveness.
X: 27%
2: 29%
Goals over 2.5: 57%
Goals under 2.5: 43%
Corners over 9.5: 56%
Corners under 9.5: 44%
Cards over 5: 28%
Cards under 5: 72%
Penalty: 15-20%
**Brief explanation (key factors):**
- **Squad strength / baseline quality:** Halifax Town are typically the higher-tier side and at home should have a slight quality edge, but South Shields are a strong non-league opponent capable of competing in one-off cup ties—hence only a modest home advantage.
- **Match type:** This is an **official knockout qualification-round match**, which generally increases intensity and reduces “experimental” play compared to friendlies, but still allows some rotation depending on league priorities.
- **Injuries / suspensions:** No reliable, confirmed absentee list is provided here; treat team news as a major uncertainty that can move probabilities close to kick-off.
- **Home advantage / travel / fatigue:** Halifax benefit from home conditions and simpler logistics. With no schedule data supplied, fatigue is assumed average; cup weeks can still trigger light rotation.
- **Form / head-to-head:** No head-to-head or recent-form dataset is included, so the model leans more on **team level + market odds** than trend-based adjustments.
- **Motivation / importance:** Qualification rounds are high-leverage; underdogs tend to play aggressively, which supports **BTTS tendency** and pushes **over 2.5** slightly above 50%.
- **Rotation / structural risks:** Potential rotation (especially if either side has a congested league calendar) is a risk; it increases variance and keeps the draw/away upset chances meaningful.
- **Bookmaker odds:** The 1X2 prices imply a **narrow Halifax edge**, and goal lines indicate a **moderately open game** (over 2.5 favored). My probabilities broadly track the market with a small adjustment for cup-variance and underdog competitiveness.