Eliteserien
Sandefjord Fotball
Gastgeber
VS
IK Start
Gast
20.09.2026 18:00
Heimsieg
2.02
Unentschieden
3.51
Auswärtssieg
3.26
KI-Prognose
1: 47%
X: 28%
2: 25%
Goals over 2.5: 58%
Goals under 2.5: 42%
Corners over 9.5: 56%
Corners under 9.5: 44%
Cards over 5: 24%
Cards under 5: 76%
Penalty: 16-20%
**Brief explanation (key factors):**
- **Squad strength / baseline quality:** Sandefjord get a small edge mainly from home advantage and the profile of recent H2H results (more home wins and generally open games). Start look competitive enough to avoid being a long shot, hence a meaningful away win probability.
- **Match type:** This is an **official league match** (Regular season, Matchday 22), so lineups should be close to strongest available and motivation is high.
- **Injuries / suspensions:** No confirmed absences are provided here, so the forecast assumes near-normal availability; this adds uncertainty (a late striker/CB absence could swing 3–5%).
- **Home advantage / travel / fatigue:** Not a neutral venue and conditions look stable (clear, ~16°C). Travel burden isn’t flagged as extreme; overall a mild net benefit to the home side.
- **H2H + scoring tendency:** H2H average total goals is high (~3.55) and the most recent meeting ended 3–2, supporting **Over 2.5** and **BTTS-leaning** game dynamics.
- **Odds signal:** Bookmaker prices imply roughly **Home 46% / Draw 26% / Away 28%** before margin; I tilt slightly toward Sandefjord and the draw, and slightly down on the away win.
- **Structural risks (rotation):** Being late-season, rotation is possible depending on standings and minor knocks, but with an official round game it’s typically limited unless there’s fixture congestion (not provided).
- **Cards / corners / penalty:** Norwegian league games are often moderate on cards; with an expected open match, corners can rise (especially if one side defends deeper late). Penalty probability sits in a typical mid-range.
X: 28%
2: 25%
Goals over 2.5: 58%
Goals under 2.5: 42%
Corners over 9.5: 56%
Corners under 9.5: 44%
Cards over 5: 24%
Cards under 5: 76%
Penalty: 16-20%
**Brief explanation (key factors):**
- **Squad strength / baseline quality:** Sandefjord get a small edge mainly from home advantage and the profile of recent H2H results (more home wins and generally open games). Start look competitive enough to avoid being a long shot, hence a meaningful away win probability.
- **Match type:** This is an **official league match** (Regular season, Matchday 22), so lineups should be close to strongest available and motivation is high.
- **Injuries / suspensions:** No confirmed absences are provided here, so the forecast assumes near-normal availability; this adds uncertainty (a late striker/CB absence could swing 3–5%).
- **Home advantage / travel / fatigue:** Not a neutral venue and conditions look stable (clear, ~16°C). Travel burden isn’t flagged as extreme; overall a mild net benefit to the home side.
- **H2H + scoring tendency:** H2H average total goals is high (~3.55) and the most recent meeting ended 3–2, supporting **Over 2.5** and **BTTS-leaning** game dynamics.
- **Odds signal:** Bookmaker prices imply roughly **Home 46% / Draw 26% / Away 28%** before margin; I tilt slightly toward Sandefjord and the draw, and slightly down on the away win.
- **Structural risks (rotation):** Being late-season, rotation is possible depending on standings and minor knocks, but with an official round game it’s typically limited unless there’s fixture congestion (not provided).
- **Cards / corners / penalty:** Norwegian league games are often moderate on cards; with an expected open match, corners can rise (especially if one side defends deeper late). Penalty probability sits in a typical mid-range.