Allsvenskan
IFK Göteborg
Gastgeber
VS
Djurgårdens IF
Gast
28.10.2026 18:00
Heimsieg
3.85
Unentschieden
3.90
Auswärtssieg
1.82
KI-Prognose
1: 24%
X: 26%
2: 50%
Голове над 2.5: 54%
Голове под 2.5: 46%
Корнери над 9.5: 57%
Корнери под 9.5: 43%
Картони над 5: 28%
Картони под 5: 72%
Дузпа: 16-20%
**Explanation (concise):**
- **Squad strength / baseline quality:** Djurgårdens look the stronger side on overall level and consistency, reflected both by recent H2H dominance and market pricing. Göteborg’s ceiling at home is decent, but their downside is large versus top opponents.
- **Match type:** This is an **official league match** (regular season, matchday 26), so intensity and best-available lineups are more likely than in a friendly.
- **Injuries / suspensions:** No reliable confirmed list is provided here, so this is **not baked in as a major edge** for either team (key late news could shift probabilities).
- **Home advantage / travel / fatigue:** Göteborg have home-field and no travel burden; Djurgårdens travel within Sweden is manageable. Late-October conditions (cool, wind) can add variance but don’t strongly change the favorite.
- **H2H and form signals:** H2H trends strongly favor Djurgårdens (including a **6–0** in the most recent meeting). That supports a higher away-win probability than a “neutral” model would give.
- **Motivation / table context:** Matchday 26 typically means **high leverage** for European spots/title or avoiding bad finishes; that usually reduces complacency for the stronger team and limits experimental approaches.
- **Rotation / structural risks:** Some rotation risk exists late season, but given the stakes, full rotation is less likely; biggest risk is if Djurgårdens prioritize another competition (unknown here).
- **Bookmaker odds:** The away side is priced as clear favorite (around **1.82**), implying roughly mid-50% away win probability after margin; the forecast is aligned but allows for home/draw variance.
X: 26%
2: 50%
Голове над 2.5: 54%
Голове под 2.5: 46%
Корнери над 9.5: 57%
Корнери под 9.5: 43%
Картони над 5: 28%
Картони под 5: 72%
Дузпа: 16-20%
**Explanation (concise):**
- **Squad strength / baseline quality:** Djurgårdens look the stronger side on overall level and consistency, reflected both by recent H2H dominance and market pricing. Göteborg’s ceiling at home is decent, but their downside is large versus top opponents.
- **Match type:** This is an **official league match** (regular season, matchday 26), so intensity and best-available lineups are more likely than in a friendly.
- **Injuries / suspensions:** No reliable confirmed list is provided here, so this is **not baked in as a major edge** for either team (key late news could shift probabilities).
- **Home advantage / travel / fatigue:** Göteborg have home-field and no travel burden; Djurgårdens travel within Sweden is manageable. Late-October conditions (cool, wind) can add variance but don’t strongly change the favorite.
- **H2H and form signals:** H2H trends strongly favor Djurgårdens (including a **6–0** in the most recent meeting). That supports a higher away-win probability than a “neutral” model would give.
- **Motivation / table context:** Matchday 26 typically means **high leverage** for European spots/title or avoiding bad finishes; that usually reduces complacency for the stronger team and limits experimental approaches.
- **Rotation / structural risks:** Some rotation risk exists late season, but given the stakes, full rotation is less likely; biggest risk is if Djurgårdens prioritize another competition (unknown here).
- **Bookmaker odds:** The away side is priced as clear favorite (around **1.82**), implying roughly mid-50% away win probability after margin; the forecast is aligned but allows for home/draw variance.