Serie B
L.R. Vicenza
Gastgeber
VS
Modena
Gast
27.10.2026 19:00
Heimsieg
2.94
Unentschieden
3.45
Auswärtssieg
2.29
KI-Prognose
1: 32%
X: 29%
2: 39%
Goals over 2.5: 44%
Goals under 2.5: 56%
Corners over 9.5: 52%
Corners under 9.5: 48%
Cards over 5: 28%
Cards under 5: 72%
Penalty: 16-20%
**Brief explanation (key factors):**
- **Squad strength / baseline quality:** Modena rate slightly stronger on overall squad quality and depth for a typical league context, hence the edge away despite being on the road.
- **Match type:** Regular-season, Matchday 9 → fully **official** and points-driven; no “friendly” dynamics.
- **Injuries / suspensions:** No confirmed absences provided; this adds uncertainty and keeps the draw probability relatively high. Late team-news could move the line.
- **Home advantage / travel / fatigue:** Vicenza benefit from home field; travel for Modena is manageable and not a major fatigue flag by itself. Late October scheduling can create mild rotation risk, but nothing concrete is indicated.
- **Head-to-head & style expectation:** Historical H2H is fairly balanced with a slight Vicenza home lean, but it’s dated and not decisive. The pricing suggests a competitive game with Modena marginally favored.
- **Motivation / standings importance:** Early-mid season round (MD9) → strong incentive to avoid defeat; that supports **under 2.5** being slightly more likely than over.
- **Bookmakers’ odds signal:** 2.94 / 3.45 / 2.29 implies Modena as a modest favorite; my probabilities broadly align but give a bit more to the draw/home due to home advantage and unknown team news.
X: 29%
2: 39%
Goals over 2.5: 44%
Goals under 2.5: 56%
Corners over 9.5: 52%
Corners under 9.5: 48%
Cards over 5: 28%
Cards under 5: 72%
Penalty: 16-20%
**Brief explanation (key factors):**
- **Squad strength / baseline quality:** Modena rate slightly stronger on overall squad quality and depth for a typical league context, hence the edge away despite being on the road.
- **Match type:** Regular-season, Matchday 9 → fully **official** and points-driven; no “friendly” dynamics.
- **Injuries / suspensions:** No confirmed absences provided; this adds uncertainty and keeps the draw probability relatively high. Late team-news could move the line.
- **Home advantage / travel / fatigue:** Vicenza benefit from home field; travel for Modena is manageable and not a major fatigue flag by itself. Late October scheduling can create mild rotation risk, but nothing concrete is indicated.
- **Head-to-head & style expectation:** Historical H2H is fairly balanced with a slight Vicenza home lean, but it’s dated and not decisive. The pricing suggests a competitive game with Modena marginally favored.
- **Motivation / standings importance:** Early-mid season round (MD9) → strong incentive to avoid defeat; that supports **under 2.5** being slightly more likely than over.
- **Bookmakers’ odds signal:** 2.94 / 3.45 / 2.29 implies Modena as a modest favorite; my probabilities broadly align but give a bit more to the draw/home due to home advantage and unknown team news.