Parva Liga
FK Septemvri Sofia
Gastgeber
VS
Botev Plovdiv
Gast
19.09.2026 16:30
Heimsieg
4.16
Unentschieden
3.55
Auswärtssieg
1.74
KI-Prognose
1: 22%
X: 25%
2: 53%
Goals over 2.5: 49%
Goals under 2.5: 51%
Corners over 9.5: 52%
Corners under 9.5: 48%
Cards over 5: 34%
Cards under 5: 66%
Penalty: 16-20%
**Brief explanation:**
This is an **official league match (Regular season, Matchday 10)**, so motivation and “best available XI” tendencies are higher than in a friendly. **Botev Plovdiv rate as the stronger squad on baseline quality** and are also clearly supported by both the **market odds (away ~1.74)** and the **head-to-head history** (7 wins in the last 10; several multi-goal wins). Septemvri’s home advantage is real, but not enough to offset the overall gap and the H2H pattern, so the away win remains the most likely outcome.
Totals lean slightly to the **under 2.5** because the away side can control the game state if leading, even though the H2H includes some higher-scoring Botev wins. Corner and card lines are kept near-balanced: not a derby, and no referee/disciplinary signals provided, so **under 5 cards** is marginally preferred. Injury/suspension and rotation risk can’t be quantified from the provided data (no absences listed), so probabilities stay close to what the **odds + matchup history** imply.
X: 25%
2: 53%
Goals over 2.5: 49%
Goals under 2.5: 51%
Corners over 9.5: 52%
Corners under 9.5: 48%
Cards over 5: 34%
Cards under 5: 66%
Penalty: 16-20%
**Brief explanation:**
This is an **official league match (Regular season, Matchday 10)**, so motivation and “best available XI” tendencies are higher than in a friendly. **Botev Plovdiv rate as the stronger squad on baseline quality** and are also clearly supported by both the **market odds (away ~1.74)** and the **head-to-head history** (7 wins in the last 10; several multi-goal wins). Septemvri’s home advantage is real, but not enough to offset the overall gap and the H2H pattern, so the away win remains the most likely outcome.
Totals lean slightly to the **under 2.5** because the away side can control the game state if leading, even though the H2H includes some higher-scoring Botev wins. Corner and card lines are kept near-balanced: not a derby, and no referee/disciplinary signals provided, so **under 5 cards** is marginally preferred. Injury/suspension and rotation risk can’t be quantified from the provided data (no absences listed), so probabilities stay close to what the **odds + matchup history** imply.