Championship
Stoke City
Gastgeber
VS
Sheffield United
Gast
19.09.2026 14:30
Heimsieg
2.52
Unentschieden
3.32
Auswärtssieg
2.65
KI-Prognose
1: 38%
X: 29%
2: 33%
Goals over 2.5: 51%
Goals under 2.5: 49%
Corners over 9.5: 54%
Corners under 9.5: 46%
Cards over 5: 28%
Cards under 5: 72%
Penalty: 15-20%
**Brief explanation (key factors):**
- **Squad strength / baseline quality:** The pricing suggests a very tight matchup with Stoke marginally favoured by home advantage, but Sheffield United are close in overall level.
- **Match type & motivation:** Regular-season league game (Matchday 8) → full motivation, stronger lineups than in friendlies; fewer “experimental” approaches.
- **Injuries/suspensions:** No reliable confirmed list provided here, so this remains a risk factor; probabilities stay conservative rather than strongly leaning 1/2.
- **Home advantage, travel, schedule:** Stoke benefit from home conditions; Sheffield United’s travel is manageable (domestic), so fatigue impact is likely limited.
- **H2H & recent pattern:** Sheffield United have dominated the recent head-to-head (several wins including at Stoke), which pulls the away-win probability up despite the market’s slight lean to the hosts.
- **Odds signal:** 2.52–3.32–2.65 implies near-even teams; converting that to probabilities supports a narrow home edge and a fairly high draw chance.
- **Goals/corners/cards:** Market totals (Over 2.5 ~1.86 vs Under 1.91) indicate a near 50/50 goals profile; corners lean slightly over due to balanced, competitive games. Cards are projected under 5 given it’s not a derby and typical Championship intensity without specific referee data. Penalty remains in the normal low range.
X: 29%
2: 33%
Goals over 2.5: 51%
Goals under 2.5: 49%
Corners over 9.5: 54%
Corners under 9.5: 46%
Cards over 5: 28%
Cards under 5: 72%
Penalty: 15-20%
**Brief explanation (key factors):**
- **Squad strength / baseline quality:** The pricing suggests a very tight matchup with Stoke marginally favoured by home advantage, but Sheffield United are close in overall level.
- **Match type & motivation:** Regular-season league game (Matchday 8) → full motivation, stronger lineups than in friendlies; fewer “experimental” approaches.
- **Injuries/suspensions:** No reliable confirmed list provided here, so this remains a risk factor; probabilities stay conservative rather than strongly leaning 1/2.
- **Home advantage, travel, schedule:** Stoke benefit from home conditions; Sheffield United’s travel is manageable (domestic), so fatigue impact is likely limited.
- **H2H & recent pattern:** Sheffield United have dominated the recent head-to-head (several wins including at Stoke), which pulls the away-win probability up despite the market’s slight lean to the hosts.
- **Odds signal:** 2.52–3.32–2.65 implies near-even teams; converting that to probabilities supports a narrow home edge and a fairly high draw chance.
- **Goals/corners/cards:** Market totals (Over 2.5 ~1.86 vs Under 1.91) indicate a near 50/50 goals profile; corners lean slightly over due to balanced, competitive games. Cards are projected under 5 given it’s not a derby and typical Championship intensity without specific referee data. Penalty remains in the normal low range.