UEFA Nations League
Hungary
Gastgeber
VS
Northern Ireland
Gast
17.11.2026 19:45
Heimsieg
1.89
Unentschieden
3.29
Auswärtssieg
4.25
KI-Prognose
1: 52%
X: 28%
2: 20%
Goals over 2.5: 38%
Goals under 2.5: 62%
Corners over 9.5: 54%
Corners under 9.5: 46%
Cards over 5: 27%
Cards under 5: 73%
Penalty: 15-20%
**Explanation (concise):**
- **Squad strength / baseline quality:** Hungary generally have the higher ceiling (more technical quality, more creators between the lines) and tend to control games better at home; Northern Ireland are usually more direct, defense-first, and lower-scoring.
- **Match type & motivation:** This is an **official Nations League group match (Matchday 6)**, typically played with strong lineups and clear incentives (group position, promotion/relegation), so intensity and result-focus are higher than in a friendly.
- **H2H & style fit:** Recent H2H is low-scoring and favors Hungary (3 matches: Hungary 2W, 1D, NI 0 goals). That profile supports **Hungary not to lose** and **Under 2.5**.
- **Home advantage / travel / calendar:** Hungary at home plus Northern Ireland travel tilts the balance toward the hosts; late-November fixtures can also reduce tempo and increase “risk management,” again helping the under.
- **Injuries/suspensions & rotations:** No reliable confirmed absences provided here; because it’s the last group match, rotations are possible only if qualification is already decided—otherwise expect near-best elevens. This uncertainty keeps the draw chance meaningful.
- **Bookmakers’ odds check:** The 1X2 odds imply roughly **Home ~50% / Draw ~29% / Away ~22%** after normalization; the forecast is aligned but slightly leans to Hungary due to home edge and H2H. Totals odds also point to **Under 2.5** as the more likely outcome.
X: 28%
2: 20%
Goals over 2.5: 38%
Goals under 2.5: 62%
Corners over 9.5: 54%
Corners under 9.5: 46%
Cards over 5: 27%
Cards under 5: 73%
Penalty: 15-20%
**Explanation (concise):**
- **Squad strength / baseline quality:** Hungary generally have the higher ceiling (more technical quality, more creators between the lines) and tend to control games better at home; Northern Ireland are usually more direct, defense-first, and lower-scoring.
- **Match type & motivation:** This is an **official Nations League group match (Matchday 6)**, typically played with strong lineups and clear incentives (group position, promotion/relegation), so intensity and result-focus are higher than in a friendly.
- **H2H & style fit:** Recent H2H is low-scoring and favors Hungary (3 matches: Hungary 2W, 1D, NI 0 goals). That profile supports **Hungary not to lose** and **Under 2.5**.
- **Home advantage / travel / calendar:** Hungary at home plus Northern Ireland travel tilts the balance toward the hosts; late-November fixtures can also reduce tempo and increase “risk management,” again helping the under.
- **Injuries/suspensions & rotations:** No reliable confirmed absences provided here; because it’s the last group match, rotations are possible only if qualification is already decided—otherwise expect near-best elevens. This uncertainty keeps the draw chance meaningful.
- **Bookmakers’ odds check:** The 1X2 odds imply roughly **Home ~50% / Draw ~29% / Away ~22%** after normalization; the forecast is aligned but slightly leans to Hungary due to home edge and H2H. Totals odds also point to **Under 2.5** as the more likely outcome.