Liga F
Valencia
Gastgeber
VS
Granada Club de Fútbol
Gast
15.11.2026 17:15
Heimsieg
2.80
Unentschieden
3.10
Auswärtssieg
2.25
KI-Prognose
1: 33%
X: 29%
2: 38%
Goals over 2.5: 52%
Goals under 2.5: 48%
Corners over 9.5: 54%
Corners under 9.5: 46%
Cards over 5: 34%
Cards under 5: 66%
Penalty: 15-20%
**Brief explanation (key factors):**
- **Squad strength / baseline quality:** Valencia typically have higher individual quality and home advantage, but Granada look priced as the slightly stronger side for this specific matchup (market signal), suggesting better current level/form or squad availability.
- **Match type:** This is an **official league match** (Regular Season, Matchday 11), so motivation and intensity should be normal-to-high, not “friendly” style.
- **Injuries / suspensions:** No confirmed absences provided here; that adds uncertainty and is one reason the draw probability stays relatively high. If late team news breaks, probabilities can shift notably.
- **Home, travel, schedule fatigue:** Valencia are at home; Granada travel is moderate (~382 km), usually not extreme but still a small edge to the hosts. Mid-November can also bring rotation risk depending on international breaks and minutes load.
- **Head-to-head & recent meetings:** Recent H2H is **swingy** (Valencia have big home wins, but Granada also have recent wins including away). That supports a competitive game rather than a clear home win.
- **Importance / table pressure:** Matchday 11 often carries meaningful points pressure (top-half chase or relegation battle), which can tighten games—supporting a solid draw chance.
- **Rotation / structural risks:** Without lineup data, assume **some rotation is possible**, especially if either side has returning internationals; this pushes probability slightly toward variance (away win/draw) rather than strong Valencia favoritism.
- **Bookmaker odds:** The odds imply Granada are **favored** (away win 2.25 vs home 2.8). The 1X2 forecast follows that, but not aggressively due to home advantage and H2H volatility.
- **Totals, corners, cards:** With H2H averaging relatively high goals and both capable of scoring, **over 2.5 is slightly favored**. Corners lean **over 9.5** in an open, competitive match. Cards lean **under 5** (not flagged as a derby; referee tendency not provided), while penalty chance remains in the typical **15–20%** range.
X: 29%
2: 38%
Goals over 2.5: 52%
Goals under 2.5: 48%
Corners over 9.5: 54%
Corners under 9.5: 46%
Cards over 5: 34%
Cards under 5: 66%
Penalty: 15-20%
**Brief explanation (key factors):**
- **Squad strength / baseline quality:** Valencia typically have higher individual quality and home advantage, but Granada look priced as the slightly stronger side for this specific matchup (market signal), suggesting better current level/form or squad availability.
- **Match type:** This is an **official league match** (Regular Season, Matchday 11), so motivation and intensity should be normal-to-high, not “friendly” style.
- **Injuries / suspensions:** No confirmed absences provided here; that adds uncertainty and is one reason the draw probability stays relatively high. If late team news breaks, probabilities can shift notably.
- **Home, travel, schedule fatigue:** Valencia are at home; Granada travel is moderate (~382 km), usually not extreme but still a small edge to the hosts. Mid-November can also bring rotation risk depending on international breaks and minutes load.
- **Head-to-head & recent meetings:** Recent H2H is **swingy** (Valencia have big home wins, but Granada also have recent wins including away). That supports a competitive game rather than a clear home win.
- **Importance / table pressure:** Matchday 11 often carries meaningful points pressure (top-half chase or relegation battle), which can tighten games—supporting a solid draw chance.
- **Rotation / structural risks:** Without lineup data, assume **some rotation is possible**, especially if either side has returning internationals; this pushes probability slightly toward variance (away win/draw) rather than strong Valencia favoritism.
- **Bookmaker odds:** The odds imply Granada are **favored** (away win 2.25 vs home 2.8). The 1X2 forecast follows that, but not aggressively due to home advantage and H2H volatility.
- **Totals, corners, cards:** With H2H averaging relatively high goals and both capable of scoring, **over 2.5 is slightly favored**. Corners lean **over 9.5** in an open, competitive match. Cards lean **under 5** (not flagged as a derby; referee tendency not provided), while penalty chance remains in the typical **15–20%** range.