National League
Scunthorpe United
Gastgeber
VS
Boreham Wood
Gast
16.09.2026 21:45
Heimsieg
3.90
Unentschieden
3.95
Auswärtssieg
1.71
KI-Prognose
1: 20%
X: 25%
2: 55%
Goals over 2.5: 58%
Goals under 2.5: 42%
Corners over 9.5: 52%
Corners under 9.5: 48%
Cards over 5: 22%
Cards under 5: 78%
Penalty: 16-20%
**Brief rationale (key factors):**
- **Squad strength / baseline quality:** Market expectation strongly favors Boreham Wood; the away win price implies they are the better side overall and likely to control more phases of play.
- **Match type:** This is an **official regular-season** fixture (Matchday 8), so normal competitive lineups are expected rather than experimental friendly rotations.
- **Injuries / suspensions:** No confirmed absences provided; this adds uncertainty, but the odds still point clearly toward the away side.
- **Home advantage / travel / fatigue:** Scunthorpe get the home boost, but Boreham Wood’s travel is domestic and typically manageable; no concrete schedule congestion data supplied, so fatigue is treated as neutral.
- **Head-to-head & recent meetings:** Boreham Wood lead the H2H overall (2W vs 1W) but Scunthorpe won away 3-1 in the most recent meeting, suggesting Scunthorpe can be competitive and contributes to the draw/upset probability.
- **Importance / motivation:** Early-season league points (round 8) usually means strong motivation for both; the favorite is less likely to “take it easy.”
- **Rotation / structural risks:** With no cup context and an official league game, heavy rotation is less likely; main risk is unknown team news close to kickoff.
- **Bookmaker odds:** 1X2 odds (home 3.9 / draw 3.95 / away 1.71) translate to a clear away edge; goal markets (Over 2.5 at 1.44, BTTS Yes 1.44) support **a relatively open game** with good scoring chances rather than a tight low-scoring match. Cards are projected low-moderate (no derby flag; typical league intensity). Penalty probability set in a standard mid-range.
X: 25%
2: 55%
Goals over 2.5: 58%
Goals under 2.5: 42%
Corners over 9.5: 52%
Corners under 9.5: 48%
Cards over 5: 22%
Cards under 5: 78%
Penalty: 16-20%
**Brief rationale (key factors):**
- **Squad strength / baseline quality:** Market expectation strongly favors Boreham Wood; the away win price implies they are the better side overall and likely to control more phases of play.
- **Match type:** This is an **official regular-season** fixture (Matchday 8), so normal competitive lineups are expected rather than experimental friendly rotations.
- **Injuries / suspensions:** No confirmed absences provided; this adds uncertainty, but the odds still point clearly toward the away side.
- **Home advantage / travel / fatigue:** Scunthorpe get the home boost, but Boreham Wood’s travel is domestic and typically manageable; no concrete schedule congestion data supplied, so fatigue is treated as neutral.
- **Head-to-head & recent meetings:** Boreham Wood lead the H2H overall (2W vs 1W) but Scunthorpe won away 3-1 in the most recent meeting, suggesting Scunthorpe can be competitive and contributes to the draw/upset probability.
- **Importance / motivation:** Early-season league points (round 8) usually means strong motivation for both; the favorite is less likely to “take it easy.”
- **Rotation / structural risks:** With no cup context and an official league game, heavy rotation is less likely; main risk is unknown team news close to kickoff.
- **Bookmaker odds:** 1X2 odds (home 3.9 / draw 3.95 / away 1.71) translate to a clear away edge; goal markets (Over 2.5 at 1.44, BTTS Yes 1.44) support **a relatively open game** with good scoring chances rather than a tight low-scoring match. Cards are projected low-moderate (no derby flag; typical league intensity). Penalty probability set in a standard mid-range.