Wales

1: 24%
X: 26%
2: 50%
Goals over 2.5: 54%
Goals under 2.5: 46%
Corners over 9.5: 56%
Corners under 9.5: 44%
Cards over 5: 22%
Cards under 5: 78%
Penalty: 15-20%

Denmark rate higher on baseline squad quality and depth, and the market strongly supports them (away win ~1.83 implies they are clear favorites). This is an official Nations League group-stage match, so motivation is high, but Denmark’s structural edge remains. Head-to-head also leans heavily Denmark (4 wins from 5, including a 2–0 win a week earlier), suggesting a matchup advantage. Wales’ home factor helps narrow the gap, yet Denmark’s ability to control games makes them more likely to win than draw/lose. Goal line slightly favors over 2.5 given Denmark’s attacking efficiency and the odds (O2.5 ~1.61), while cards are projected lower due to typical Nations League refereeing/tempo (no derby flag) and a moderate weather profile. Corners lean over because Denmark’s expected territorial pressure usually generates repeated wide attacks and set pieces. Injury/suspension specifics aren’t provided here, so the forecast assumes near-standard availability with only normal rotation risk from international windows.