Brasileirão Serie B
CRB
Host
VS
Atlético Goianiense
Guest
08.10.2026 02:30
Home win
1.91
Draw
3.30
Away win
3.70
AI prediction
1: 48%
X: 28%
2: 24%
Goals over 2.5: 49%
Goals under 2.5: 51%
Corners over 9.5: 55%
Corners under 9.5: 45%
Cards over 5: 44%
Cards under 5: 56%
Penalty: 15-20%
**Brief explanation (key factors):**
- **Squad strength / baseline quality:** Atlético Goianiense typically carry slightly higher “name” value, but the market and H2H results suggest the gap is not big; at CRB’s ground the matchup tilts to the home side.
- **Match type:** This is an **official league fixture** (regular season, Matchday 32), so intensity and points-pressure should be high, reducing “friendly-like” volatility.
- **Injuries/suspensions:** No reliable injury/suspension list was provided, so this is a **structural uncertainty** that slightly increases draw probability and keeps goal expectations near the middle.
- **Home advantage / travel / fatigue:** CRB benefit from home conditions; travel for Atlético Goianiense is a negative, but without the exact calendar congestion data it’s modeled as moderate rather than extreme.
- **Head-to-head & style signal:** H2H is **goal-friendly** on average (3.0) and recent meetings include a **3–3** draw, supporting BTTS/over lean—but not enough to make Over 2.5 a strong favorite.
- **Motivation / table context:** Late-season round (32) usually increases urgency (promotion/playoff/relegation battles), often boosting set-pieces and corners; discipline risk rises too, but “over 5 cards” is kept below 50% without referee info.
- **Bookmaker odds (implied):** Odds of ~1.91 / 3.30 / 3.70 imply roughly **49% / 28% / 25%** after normalization—very close to the forecast, with only a small adjustment toward CRB due to H2H home edge.
X: 28%
2: 24%
Goals over 2.5: 49%
Goals under 2.5: 51%
Corners over 9.5: 55%
Corners under 9.5: 45%
Cards over 5: 44%
Cards under 5: 56%
Penalty: 15-20%
**Brief explanation (key factors):**
- **Squad strength / baseline quality:** Atlético Goianiense typically carry slightly higher “name” value, but the market and H2H results suggest the gap is not big; at CRB’s ground the matchup tilts to the home side.
- **Match type:** This is an **official league fixture** (regular season, Matchday 32), so intensity and points-pressure should be high, reducing “friendly-like” volatility.
- **Injuries/suspensions:** No reliable injury/suspension list was provided, so this is a **structural uncertainty** that slightly increases draw probability and keeps goal expectations near the middle.
- **Home advantage / travel / fatigue:** CRB benefit from home conditions; travel for Atlético Goianiense is a negative, but without the exact calendar congestion data it’s modeled as moderate rather than extreme.
- **Head-to-head & style signal:** H2H is **goal-friendly** on average (3.0) and recent meetings include a **3–3** draw, supporting BTTS/over lean—but not enough to make Over 2.5 a strong favorite.
- **Motivation / table context:** Late-season round (32) usually increases urgency (promotion/playoff/relegation battles), often boosting set-pieces and corners; discipline risk rises too, but “over 5 cards” is kept below 50% without referee info.
- **Bookmaker odds (implied):** Odds of ~1.91 / 3.30 / 3.70 imply roughly **49% / 28% / 25%** after normalization—very close to the forecast, with only a small adjustment toward CRB due to H2H home edge.