Eliteserien
SK Brann
Host
VS
Bodø/Glimt
Guest
20.09.2026 20:15
Home win
4.14
Draw
4.33
Away win
1.64
AI prediction
1: 22%
X: 24%
2: 54%
Goals over 2.5: 66%
Goals under 2.5: 34%
Corners over 9.5: 58%
Corners under 9.5: 42%
Cards over 5: 22%
Cards under 5: 78%
Penalty: 16-20%
**Brief explanation (key factors):**
- **Squad strength / baseline quality:** Bodø/Glimt rate clearly higher overall (more reliable high-intensity attacking structure and depth), so they deserve to be favored even away. Brann at home are competitive but typically a tier below in consistency.
- **Match type:** This is an **official league match** (regular season, matchday 22), so strongest available lineups are more likely than in a friendly.
- **Injuries/suspensions:** No confirmed absences provided here; treat this as **unknown** and therefore a **model risk** (late team news could move probabilities).
- **Home advantage / travel / fatigue:** Brann get normal home boost, but Glimt’s travel is manageable and they’re generally well-conditioned for tempo games. Without schedule data, fatigue is a moderate uncertainty rather than a decisive factor.
- **H2H & goal profile:** Recent head-to-head is **high-scoring** and leans toward Glimt (several decisive wins; average total goals historically is high), supporting **Over 2.5** and **BTTS-leaning** dynamics.
- **Motivation / table pressure:** Late-season round implies points matter; Glimt’s title/Europe push tends to keep motivation high. Brann’s motivation is also strong at home, but win probability remains lower due to the matchup.
- **Rotation risk:** Possible if Glimt are involved in Europe around that date, but not confirmed here; hence only a small adjustment.
- **Bookmaker odds:** Market pricing strongly favors **Away win (~1.64)** and expects goals (low prices on overs/BTTS). My 1X2 aligns with that but keeps some draw probability given Brann’s home factor.
X: 24%
2: 54%
Goals over 2.5: 66%
Goals under 2.5: 34%
Corners over 9.5: 58%
Corners under 9.5: 42%
Cards over 5: 22%
Cards under 5: 78%
Penalty: 16-20%
**Brief explanation (key factors):**
- **Squad strength / baseline quality:** Bodø/Glimt rate clearly higher overall (more reliable high-intensity attacking structure and depth), so they deserve to be favored even away. Brann at home are competitive but typically a tier below in consistency.
- **Match type:** This is an **official league match** (regular season, matchday 22), so strongest available lineups are more likely than in a friendly.
- **Injuries/suspensions:** No confirmed absences provided here; treat this as **unknown** and therefore a **model risk** (late team news could move probabilities).
- **Home advantage / travel / fatigue:** Brann get normal home boost, but Glimt’s travel is manageable and they’re generally well-conditioned for tempo games. Without schedule data, fatigue is a moderate uncertainty rather than a decisive factor.
- **H2H & goal profile:** Recent head-to-head is **high-scoring** and leans toward Glimt (several decisive wins; average total goals historically is high), supporting **Over 2.5** and **BTTS-leaning** dynamics.
- **Motivation / table pressure:** Late-season round implies points matter; Glimt’s title/Europe push tends to keep motivation high. Brann’s motivation is also strong at home, but win probability remains lower due to the matchup.
- **Rotation risk:** Possible if Glimt are involved in Europe around that date, but not confirmed here; hence only a small adjustment.
- **Bookmaker odds:** Market pricing strongly favors **Away win (~1.64)** and expects goals (low prices on overs/BTTS). My 1X2 aligns with that but keeps some draw probability given Brann’s home factor.