DFB Pokal
SSV Jeddeloh II
Host
VS
Hertha BSC
Guest
28.10.2026 17:00
Home win
34.00
Draw
15.00
Away win
1.04
AI prediction
1: 2%
X: 6%
2: 92%
Goals over 2.5: 74%
Goals under 2.5: 26%
Corners over 9.5: 58%
Corners under 9.5: 42%
Cards over 5: 24%
Cards under 5: 76%
Penalty: 18-22%
**Brief explanation (key factors):**
- **Squad strength / baseline quality:** SSV Jeddeloh II are a lower-tier/reserve-level side, while Hertha BSC are a much stronger professional squad with superior depth, physicality, and individual quality. This creates a major gap even with some rotation.
- **Match type:** The “Round 2” context strongly suggests an **official cup fixture**, not a friendly—so Hertha should approach it seriously, but still likely rotate.
- **Injuries/suspensions:** No reliable confirmed absences are provided; assume standard uncertainty. This is a **structural risk** mainly for Hertha via rotation rather than forced absences.
- **Home advantage / travel / fatigue:** Home advantage for Jeddeloh II exists, but it’s small versus the quality gap. Travel and a rainy/windy forecast can reduce tempo slightly, yet also increase defensive errors—often favoring the stronger side.
- **Form & H2H:** No head-to-head/form data is given; probability is therefore anchored primarily to team-level strength and market pricing.
- **Motivation / importance:** As an official knockout-style round, Hertha’s motivation to avoid an upset is high; Jeddeloh II’s motivation is also high, but quality ceiling is the limiter.
- **Rotation risks:** Hertha may rotate heavily; that slightly increases draw/upset probability and slightly supports **BTTS** chances, but not enough to change the match favorite.
- **Bookmaker odds:** The market is extremely one-sided (Away win ~1.04; Home win ~34; Draw ~15), implying ~90%+ away win probability after margin—consistent with the 92% away-win estimate. Over 2.5 is also strongly supported by odds (~1.11).
X: 6%
2: 92%
Goals over 2.5: 74%
Goals under 2.5: 26%
Corners over 9.5: 58%
Corners under 9.5: 42%
Cards over 5: 24%
Cards under 5: 76%
Penalty: 18-22%
**Brief explanation (key factors):**
- **Squad strength / baseline quality:** SSV Jeddeloh II are a lower-tier/reserve-level side, while Hertha BSC are a much stronger professional squad with superior depth, physicality, and individual quality. This creates a major gap even with some rotation.
- **Match type:** The “Round 2” context strongly suggests an **official cup fixture**, not a friendly—so Hertha should approach it seriously, but still likely rotate.
- **Injuries/suspensions:** No reliable confirmed absences are provided; assume standard uncertainty. This is a **structural risk** mainly for Hertha via rotation rather than forced absences.
- **Home advantage / travel / fatigue:** Home advantage for Jeddeloh II exists, but it’s small versus the quality gap. Travel and a rainy/windy forecast can reduce tempo slightly, yet also increase defensive errors—often favoring the stronger side.
- **Form & H2H:** No head-to-head/form data is given; probability is therefore anchored primarily to team-level strength and market pricing.
- **Motivation / importance:** As an official knockout-style round, Hertha’s motivation to avoid an upset is high; Jeddeloh II’s motivation is also high, but quality ceiling is the limiter.
- **Rotation risks:** Hertha may rotate heavily; that slightly increases draw/upset probability and slightly supports **BTTS** chances, but not enough to change the match favorite.
- **Bookmaker odds:** The market is extremely one-sided (Away win ~1.04; Home win ~34; Draw ~15), implying ~90%+ away win probability after margin—consistent with the 92% away-win estimate. Over 2.5 is also strongly supported by odds (~1.11).