Bundesliga
SV Werder Bremen
Host
VS
FC Augsburg
Guest
19.09.2026 16:30
Home win
2.30
Draw
3.80
Away win
2.73
AI prediction
1: 41%
X: 26%
2: 33%
Goals over 2.5: 58%
Goals under 2.5: 42%
Corners over 9.5: 55%
Corners under 9.5: 45%
Cards over 5: 28%
Cards under 5: 72%
Penalty: 15-20%
**Brief explanation (key factors):**
- **Squad strength / baseline quality:** Bremen have a solid Bundesliga-level core and benefit from home structure, but Augsburg are comparable in overall level and often competitive in these matchups; the gap is not large, so the away win remains a real outcome.
- **Match type:** This is an **official Bundesliga regular-season** fixture (Matchday 4), so motivation and intensity should be normal-to-high.
- **Injuries / suspensions:** No reliable list is provided here, so this is a **structural uncertainty** (late team news could shift the probabilities).
- **Home advantage / travel / fatigue:** Bremen get the home edge; Augsburg’s travel is moderate (not extreme), and early-season scheduling usually means **limited accumulated fatigue**, unless either side had midweek commitments.
- **H2H & trends:** Head-to-head is slightly Augsburg-leaning overall, and the most recent meeting in Bremen ended **1–3**. The H2H average goals (~3.0) and recent results support **a higher-than-average chance of 3+ goals** and **BTTS tendency**.
- **Importance / table situation:** Early season points matter; both teams typically target mid-table stability, so the game is meaningful but not “must-win,” supporting a balanced 1X2 split rather than extreme odds.
- **Rotations / structural risks:** Early-season rotation is possible (especially if there are cup/European games around the date), but without confirmed schedules it’s a moderate risk, not a primary driver.
- **Bookmaker odds:** Market prices lean slightly to **Bremen** (home win shortest), with a relatively high draw price; that aligns with **Bremen edge but not dominance**, plus a meaningful Augsburg win probability. Over 2.5 and BTTS are also strongly supported by the odds.
X: 26%
2: 33%
Goals over 2.5: 58%
Goals under 2.5: 42%
Corners over 9.5: 55%
Corners under 9.5: 45%
Cards over 5: 28%
Cards under 5: 72%
Penalty: 15-20%
**Brief explanation (key factors):**
- **Squad strength / baseline quality:** Bremen have a solid Bundesliga-level core and benefit from home structure, but Augsburg are comparable in overall level and often competitive in these matchups; the gap is not large, so the away win remains a real outcome.
- **Match type:** This is an **official Bundesliga regular-season** fixture (Matchday 4), so motivation and intensity should be normal-to-high.
- **Injuries / suspensions:** No reliable list is provided here, so this is a **structural uncertainty** (late team news could shift the probabilities).
- **Home advantage / travel / fatigue:** Bremen get the home edge; Augsburg’s travel is moderate (not extreme), and early-season scheduling usually means **limited accumulated fatigue**, unless either side had midweek commitments.
- **H2H & trends:** Head-to-head is slightly Augsburg-leaning overall, and the most recent meeting in Bremen ended **1–3**. The H2H average goals (~3.0) and recent results support **a higher-than-average chance of 3+ goals** and **BTTS tendency**.
- **Importance / table situation:** Early season points matter; both teams typically target mid-table stability, so the game is meaningful but not “must-win,” supporting a balanced 1X2 split rather than extreme odds.
- **Rotations / structural risks:** Early-season rotation is possible (especially if there are cup/European games around the date), but without confirmed schedules it’s a moderate risk, not a primary driver.
- **Bookmaker odds:** Market prices lean slightly to **Bremen** (home win shortest), with a relatively high draw price; that aligns with **Bremen edge but not dominance**, plus a meaningful Augsburg win probability. Over 2.5 and BTTS are also strongly supported by the odds.