K League 1
FC Anyang
Host
VS
Ulsan HD
Guest
19.09.2026 13:00
Home win
3.30
Draw
3.60
Away win
1.95
AI prediction
1: 27%
X: 28%
2: 45%
Goals over 2.5: 56%
Goals under 2.5: 44%
Corners over 9.5: 54%
Corners under 9.5: 46%
Cards over 5: 32%
Cards under 5: 68%
Penalty: 16-20%
**Brief explanation (key factors):**
- **Squad strength / baseline quality:** Ulsan HD typically have the deeper, higher-quality squad and more match-winners; Anyang are competitive but generally a tier below in consistency and depth. This pushes the away win probability ahead despite the trip.
- **Match type:** This is an **official league match (regular season, Matchday 30)**, so intensity and result-prioritization should be high—less “experimental” than a friendly.
- **Injuries/suspensions:** No reliable injury/suspension list is provided here, so the forecast assumes **near-normal availability**. Late absences would mainly affect Ulsan if they rotate heavily or miss key attackers.
- **Home advantage / travel / fatigue:** Anyang get home-field benefits, but Ulsan’s travel within Korea is usually manageable. **Rain (~20°C)** can slow tempo and slightly increase set-piece/corner volume, while also adding variance (more mistakes, more transitional moments).
- **H2H & recent meetings:** Head-to-head is **perfectly balanced overall** (6 matches: 2W-2D-2L; goals 6-6), but the most recent game was **Ulsan 3–1 Anyang**, and earlier this season at Anyang it was **1–1**—suggesting Ulsan edge without guaranteeing an away win.
- **Motivation / table pressure:** Late-season round (30) usually increases motivation. Ulsan are more likely to be chasing top objectives, while Anyang’s motivation depends on their table position (not provided), but at home they should be fully committed.
- **Rotation / structural risks:** If Ulsan are in a congested period (not provided), they may rotate; however, their depth still supports “2” as the most likely outcome. Anyang’s main risk is sustaining defensive concentration vs higher-quality phases.
- **Bookmakers’ odds:** Market pricing (1: 3.3, X: 3.6, 2: 1.95) implies Ulsan as the clear favorite. My probabilities are close to that, with a slightly elevated draw chance due to balanced H2H and away-game variance.
- **Goals/corners/cards/penalty:** With BTTS priced relatively low and recent H2H featuring multiple scorelines with goals, **Over 2.5** is slightly favored. Rain and likely Ulsan pressure support **Over 9.5 corners** marginally. Cards lean **Under 5** (not a derby, no referee trend given). Penalty chance is kept moderate (mid-to-high teens).
X: 28%
2: 45%
Goals over 2.5: 56%
Goals under 2.5: 44%
Corners over 9.5: 54%
Corners under 9.5: 46%
Cards over 5: 32%
Cards under 5: 68%
Penalty: 16-20%
**Brief explanation (key factors):**
- **Squad strength / baseline quality:** Ulsan HD typically have the deeper, higher-quality squad and more match-winners; Anyang are competitive but generally a tier below in consistency and depth. This pushes the away win probability ahead despite the trip.
- **Match type:** This is an **official league match (regular season, Matchday 30)**, so intensity and result-prioritization should be high—less “experimental” than a friendly.
- **Injuries/suspensions:** No reliable injury/suspension list is provided here, so the forecast assumes **near-normal availability**. Late absences would mainly affect Ulsan if they rotate heavily or miss key attackers.
- **Home advantage / travel / fatigue:** Anyang get home-field benefits, but Ulsan’s travel within Korea is usually manageable. **Rain (~20°C)** can slow tempo and slightly increase set-piece/corner volume, while also adding variance (more mistakes, more transitional moments).
- **H2H & recent meetings:** Head-to-head is **perfectly balanced overall** (6 matches: 2W-2D-2L; goals 6-6), but the most recent game was **Ulsan 3–1 Anyang**, and earlier this season at Anyang it was **1–1**—suggesting Ulsan edge without guaranteeing an away win.
- **Motivation / table pressure:** Late-season round (30) usually increases motivation. Ulsan are more likely to be chasing top objectives, while Anyang’s motivation depends on their table position (not provided), but at home they should be fully committed.
- **Rotation / structural risks:** If Ulsan are in a congested period (not provided), they may rotate; however, their depth still supports “2” as the most likely outcome. Anyang’s main risk is sustaining defensive concentration vs higher-quality phases.
- **Bookmakers’ odds:** Market pricing (1: 3.3, X: 3.6, 2: 1.95) implies Ulsan as the clear favorite. My probabilities are close to that, with a slightly elevated draw chance due to balanced H2H and away-game variance.
- **Goals/corners/cards/penalty:** With BTTS priced relatively low and recent H2H featuring multiple scorelines with goals, **Over 2.5** is slightly favored. Rain and likely Ulsan pressure support **Over 9.5 corners** marginally. Cards lean **Under 5** (not a derby, no referee trend given). Penalty chance is kept moderate (mid-to-high teens).