Brasileirão Serie A
Remo
Host
VS
Chapecoense
Guest
18.11.2026 23:00
Home win
1.66
Draw
3.95
Away win
4.61
AI prediction
1: 55%
X: 26%
2: 19%
Goals over 2.5: 52%
Goals under 2.5: 48%
Corners over 9.5: 54%
Corners under 9.5: 46%
Cards over 5: 28%
Cards under 5: 72%
Penalty: 15-20%
**Brief explanation (key factors):**
- **Squad strength / baseline quality:** Chapecoense are historically the bigger-name club, but the market clearly rates **Remo as the stronger side at home** in this specific season/match context (home win priced much shorter).
- **Match type:** It’s an **official league fixture** (Regular Season, Matchday 35), so motivation and intensity should be normal-to-high rather than experimental.
- **Injuries / suspensions:** No provided list here, so this remains an **information risk** (late absences could move probabilities).
- **Home advantage / travel / conditions:** Remo benefit from **home conditions**; warm, cloudy weather (around **28°C** with notable wind) can add small variability, typically favoring the side more adapted and reducing away comfort.
- **H2H & matchup pattern:** Only 3 recent H2H: **Remo unbeaten (1W, 2D)** and won away 3-2 in 2026. H2H suggests **both teams can score** and games can be competitive, which supports **BTTS/over lean**, but not extremely.
- **Importance / table pressure (late season):** Matchday 35 usually means **points are valuable** (promotion/relegation battles). That typically reduces “friendly-style” volatility and slightly increases home focus on results.
- **Rotations / structural risks:** Late season can bring fatigue/rotation, but without schedule data this is a moderate uncertainty; still, the odds imply Remo should field a competitive XI.
- **Bookmaker odds:** Odds (1: 1.66 / X: 3.95 / 2: 4.61) translate to a **clear home edge**; my 1X2 probabilities follow that while allowing for a meaningful draw chance given H2H and typical late-season caution.
X: 26%
2: 19%
Goals over 2.5: 52%
Goals under 2.5: 48%
Corners over 9.5: 54%
Corners under 9.5: 46%
Cards over 5: 28%
Cards under 5: 72%
Penalty: 15-20%
**Brief explanation (key factors):**
- **Squad strength / baseline quality:** Chapecoense are historically the bigger-name club, but the market clearly rates **Remo as the stronger side at home** in this specific season/match context (home win priced much shorter).
- **Match type:** It’s an **official league fixture** (Regular Season, Matchday 35), so motivation and intensity should be normal-to-high rather than experimental.
- **Injuries / suspensions:** No provided list here, so this remains an **information risk** (late absences could move probabilities).
- **Home advantage / travel / conditions:** Remo benefit from **home conditions**; warm, cloudy weather (around **28°C** with notable wind) can add small variability, typically favoring the side more adapted and reducing away comfort.
- **H2H & matchup pattern:** Only 3 recent H2H: **Remo unbeaten (1W, 2D)** and won away 3-2 in 2026. H2H suggests **both teams can score** and games can be competitive, which supports **BTTS/over lean**, but not extremely.
- **Importance / table pressure (late season):** Matchday 35 usually means **points are valuable** (promotion/relegation battles). That typically reduces “friendly-style” volatility and slightly increases home focus on results.
- **Rotations / structural risks:** Late season can bring fatigue/rotation, but without schedule data this is a moderate uncertainty; still, the odds imply Remo should field a competitive XI.
- **Bookmaker odds:** Odds (1: 1.66 / X: 3.95 / 2: 4.61) translate to a **clear home edge**; my 1X2 probabilities follow that while allowing for a meaningful draw chance given H2H and typical late-season caution.