Coupe de France
CS Sedan
Host
VS
Bourges Foot 18
Guest
15.11.2026 13:00
Home win
8.50
Draw
6.50
Away win
1.20
AI prediction
1: 9%
X: 14%
2: 77%
Goals over 2.5: 63%
Goals under 2.5: 37%
Corners over 9.5: 54%
Corners under 9.5: 46%
Cards over 5: 28%
Cards under 5: 72%
Penalty: 15-20%
**Brief reasoning (concise):**
- **Squad strength / quality:** The odds imply a major gap in baseline strength (away side priced like a heavy favorite), suggesting Bourges Foot 18 have a markedly stronger squad and/or higher competitive level than CS Sedan at this point.
- **Match type:** With a named round (“Round 7”) and scheduled league context, this is **an official competitive fixture**, not a friendly—typically reducing “experimental” lineups compared to friendlies.
- **Injuries / suspensions:** No reliable injuries/suspensions list is provided here; treat as **unknown**, increasing variance slightly but not enough to overturn a 1.20-away-favorite profile.
- **Home advantage / travel / fatigue:** Home advantage helps Sedan a bit, but for domestic competition travel is usually manageable; without distance and calendar congestion data, fatigue is assumed **neutral**.
- **H2H and current form:** No head-to-head or form feed is available in the supplied data; the market price is therefore the main anchor and likely already reflects recent results.
- **Motivation / standings importance:** As a Round 7 official match, points matter; the favorite is expected to prioritize the win, with Sedan possibly approaching more cautiously.
- **Rotations / structural risks:** Rotation risk exists (especially if Bourges have deeper squad), but heavy-favorite pricing suggests they can rotate without losing too much edge.
- **Bookmakers’ odds check:** 1 (8.5), X (6.5), 2 (1.2) strongly point to an away win; my 1X2 percentages broadly follow this, allowing some draw/upset chance. Over 2.5 at 1.33 also supports **a relatively high-scoring expectation**, consistent with a dominant favorite.
X: 14%
2: 77%
Goals over 2.5: 63%
Goals under 2.5: 37%
Corners over 9.5: 54%
Corners under 9.5: 46%
Cards over 5: 28%
Cards under 5: 72%
Penalty: 15-20%
**Brief reasoning (concise):**
- **Squad strength / quality:** The odds imply a major gap in baseline strength (away side priced like a heavy favorite), suggesting Bourges Foot 18 have a markedly stronger squad and/or higher competitive level than CS Sedan at this point.
- **Match type:** With a named round (“Round 7”) and scheduled league context, this is **an official competitive fixture**, not a friendly—typically reducing “experimental” lineups compared to friendlies.
- **Injuries / suspensions:** No reliable injuries/suspensions list is provided here; treat as **unknown**, increasing variance slightly but not enough to overturn a 1.20-away-favorite profile.
- **Home advantage / travel / fatigue:** Home advantage helps Sedan a bit, but for domestic competition travel is usually manageable; without distance and calendar congestion data, fatigue is assumed **neutral**.
- **H2H and current form:** No head-to-head or form feed is available in the supplied data; the market price is therefore the main anchor and likely already reflects recent results.
- **Motivation / standings importance:** As a Round 7 official match, points matter; the favorite is expected to prioritize the win, with Sedan possibly approaching more cautiously.
- **Rotations / structural risks:** Rotation risk exists (especially if Bourges have deeper squad), but heavy-favorite pricing suggests they can rotate without losing too much edge.
- **Bookmakers’ odds check:** 1 (8.5), X (6.5), 2 (1.2) strongly point to an away win; my 1X2 percentages broadly follow this, allowing some draw/upset chance. Over 2.5 at 1.33 also supports **a relatively high-scoring expectation**, consistent with a dominant favorite.