DFB Pokal
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
Host
VS
FC Augsburg
Ospite
27.10.2026 17:00
Vittoria casa
7.00
Pareggio
4.75
Vittoria ospite
1.38
Pronostico IA
1: 13%
X: 20%
2: 67%
Goals over 2.5: 60%
Goals under 2.5: 40%
Corners over 9.5: 52%
Corners under 9.5: 48%
Cards over 5: 28%
Cards under 5: 72%
Penalty: 15-20%
**Brief reasoning (key points):**
- **Squad strength / quality:** Augsburg (Bundesliga-level resources and depth) should be clearly superior to Sonnenhof Großaspach (lower-league profile). That gap typically shows in chance creation, tempo, and bench impact.
- **Match type:** The “Round 2” labeling strongly indicates an **official cup-type fixture**, not a friendly—so Augsburg are less likely to treat it casually, though some rotation is still possible.
- **Injuries/suspensions:** No reliable, match-specific absences are provided here; treat as **unknown** and therefore not a core driver of the probabilities.
- **Home advantage / travel / fatigue:** Großaspach get home conditions and wet weather can add variance, but Augsburg’s travel within Germany is manageable; calendar congestion could cause Augsburg to rotate, slightly increasing draw/upset chances.
- **Form & H2H:** No head-to-head/form data is supplied; with no evidence to the contrary, the baseline is driven by the **tier gap** and market pricing.
- **Motivation / stakes:** In an official knockout setting, the favorite usually prioritizes avoiding embarrassment; Großaspach have “nothing to lose,” which can raise effort but not necessarily quality.
- **Rotation / structural risks:** Augsburg may rotate, but even a rotated Bundesliga squad is typically stronger; biggest risk is complacency + poor pitch/weather.
- **Bookmaker odds:** Market odds (7.00 / 4.75 / 1.38) imply roughly **14% / 21% / 65%** after normalization; the forecast aligns closely, with a slight lean to Augsburg due to the expected quality gap.
- **Totals & props:** Cup mismatch profiles tend to produce **more goals** (especially if the favorite scores early). Corners lean slightly over due to sustained pressure from Augsburg. Cards lean under because mismatches often reduce “must-stop” duels, though rain can add some late tackles. Penalty probability is kept in the typical mid-range.
X: 20%
2: 67%
Goals over 2.5: 60%
Goals under 2.5: 40%
Corners over 9.5: 52%
Corners under 9.5: 48%
Cards over 5: 28%
Cards under 5: 72%
Penalty: 15-20%
**Brief reasoning (key points):**
- **Squad strength / quality:** Augsburg (Bundesliga-level resources and depth) should be clearly superior to Sonnenhof Großaspach (lower-league profile). That gap typically shows in chance creation, tempo, and bench impact.
- **Match type:** The “Round 2” labeling strongly indicates an **official cup-type fixture**, not a friendly—so Augsburg are less likely to treat it casually, though some rotation is still possible.
- **Injuries/suspensions:** No reliable, match-specific absences are provided here; treat as **unknown** and therefore not a core driver of the probabilities.
- **Home advantage / travel / fatigue:** Großaspach get home conditions and wet weather can add variance, but Augsburg’s travel within Germany is manageable; calendar congestion could cause Augsburg to rotate, slightly increasing draw/upset chances.
- **Form & H2H:** No head-to-head/form data is supplied; with no evidence to the contrary, the baseline is driven by the **tier gap** and market pricing.
- **Motivation / stakes:** In an official knockout setting, the favorite usually prioritizes avoiding embarrassment; Großaspach have “nothing to lose,” which can raise effort but not necessarily quality.
- **Rotation / structural risks:** Augsburg may rotate, but even a rotated Bundesliga squad is typically stronger; biggest risk is complacency + poor pitch/weather.
- **Bookmaker odds:** Market odds (7.00 / 4.75 / 1.38) imply roughly **14% / 21% / 65%** after normalization; the forecast aligns closely, with a slight lean to Augsburg due to the expected quality gap.
- **Totals & props:** Cup mismatch profiles tend to produce **more goals** (especially if the favorite scores early). Corners lean slightly over due to sustained pressure from Augsburg. Cards lean under because mismatches often reduce “must-stop” duels, though rain can add some late tackles. Penalty probability is kept in the typical mid-range.