Liga Portugal 2
Amarante FC
Host
VS
Felgueiras
Ospite
15.11.2026 11:00
Vittoria casa
2.38
Pareggio
2.93
Vittoria ospite
2.91
Pronostico IA
1: 39%
X: 31%
2: 30%
Goals over 2.5: 40%
Goals under 2.5: 60%
Corners over 9.5: 47%
Corners under 9.5: 53%
Cards over 5: 22%
Cards under 5: 78%
Penalty: 15-20%
**Brief explanation (key factors):**
- **Squad strength / quality:** The market rates the teams as very close, with a small edge to Amarante mainly coming from home advantage rather than a clear talent gap.
- **Match type:** This is an **official regular-season** fixture (Matchday 11), so intensity and point-value are real—less randomness than a friendly.
- **Injuries / suspensions:** No confirmed absences are provided, so this is treated as **unknown/neutral** (a structural risk that can move the probabilities near kick-off).
- **Home/away, travel, fatigue:** Non-neutral ground favors Amarante; weather (≈13°C, moderate wind) is not extreme and shouldn’t materially affect performance. No travel distance or schedule congestion data is given, so fatigue impact can’t be quantified.
- **Form & H2H:** No head-to-head or recent form data is included; therefore the forecast leans more on **pricing and typical home-edge** than trend signals.
- **Motivation / standings:** Regular season context implies normal-to-high motivation; without table data, we avoid assuming “must-win” pressure.
- **Rotation risk:** Mid-November can bring rotation if teams have cup/fixture density, but there’s no evidence here—so only a moderate uncertainty bump.
- **Bookmakers’ odds:** 1X2 odds (2.38 / 2.93 / 2.91) imply a **tight match** with Amarante slightly favored; goal lines (Under 2.5 at 1.54) point to a **low-to-moderate scoring** game, hence Under 2.5 = 60%.
X: 31%
2: 30%
Goals over 2.5: 40%
Goals under 2.5: 60%
Corners over 9.5: 47%
Corners under 9.5: 53%
Cards over 5: 22%
Cards under 5: 78%
Penalty: 15-20%
**Brief explanation (key factors):**
- **Squad strength / quality:** The market rates the teams as very close, with a small edge to Amarante mainly coming from home advantage rather than a clear talent gap.
- **Match type:** This is an **official regular-season** fixture (Matchday 11), so intensity and point-value are real—less randomness than a friendly.
- **Injuries / suspensions:** No confirmed absences are provided, so this is treated as **unknown/neutral** (a structural risk that can move the probabilities near kick-off).
- **Home/away, travel, fatigue:** Non-neutral ground favors Amarante; weather (≈13°C, moderate wind) is not extreme and shouldn’t materially affect performance. No travel distance or schedule congestion data is given, so fatigue impact can’t be quantified.
- **Form & H2H:** No head-to-head or recent form data is included; therefore the forecast leans more on **pricing and typical home-edge** than trend signals.
- **Motivation / standings:** Regular season context implies normal-to-high motivation; without table data, we avoid assuming “must-win” pressure.
- **Rotation risk:** Mid-November can bring rotation if teams have cup/fixture density, but there’s no evidence here—so only a moderate uncertainty bump.
- **Bookmakers’ odds:** 1X2 odds (2.38 / 2.93 / 2.91) imply a **tight match** with Amarante slightly favored; goal lines (Under 2.5 at 1.54) point to a **low-to-moderate scoring** game, hence Under 2.5 = 60%.