USA

1: 11%
X: 18%
2: 71%
Goals over 2.5: 58%
Goals under 2.5: 42%
Corners over 9.5: 56%
Corners under 9.5: 44%
Cards over 5: 27%
Cards under 5: 73%
Penalty: 15-20%

**Brief explanation (key factors):**
- **Squad strength:** USA are typically the stronger side on paper and at home, but the **bookmaker market heavily favors Haiti** here (1.29 away win), suggesting either lineup expectations, tournament context, or market/scheduling information pushing the price strongly toward the away side.
- **Match type & motivation:** It’s listed as a **Quarterfinal** (official knockout). That usually reduces “friendly-style” randomness and increases intensity; however, favorites can still control games, hence a high away-win probability per odds.
- **H2H:** USA historically have the edge (3W-1D in 4), but that conflicts with the current odds—so **current context likely overrides historical matchups**.
- **Home/away & conditions:** Not neutral ground; weather indicates **rain and cool temperature**, which can increase errors and set-pieces but doesn’t necessarily lower scoring drastically at this level.
- **Injuries/suspensions & rotations:** No concrete injury/suspension list is provided; given the odds, **the market is likely anticipating a weaker USA XI and/or a stronger Haiti XI**. Knockout matches can still bring cautious phases, supporting some draw probability.
- **Goals/corners/cards:** The odds imply a reasonable chance of **2–3+ goals** (Over 2.5 slightly favored). Knockout games often produce **set-piece pressure** (corners > 9.5 slightly favored). Card line leans **under 5** unless the tie becomes volatile. Penalty chance sits in the typical **15–20%** range.