Brasileirão Serie A
Red Bull Bragantino
Anfitrión
VS
Mirassol
Invitado
08.10.2026 01:30
Victoria local
1.71
Empate
3.50
Victoria visitante
4.50
Pronóstico de IA
1: 55%
X: 26%
2: 19%
Goals over 2.5: 52%
Goals under 2.5: 48%
Corners over 9.5: 58%
Corners under 9.5: 42%
Cards over 5: 28%
Cards under 5: 72%
Penalty: 15-20%
**Brief explanation (key factors):**
- **Squad strength/quality:** Bragantino project-wise typically has the stronger overall squad and depth, which aligns with them being clear favorites at home.
- **Match type:** This is an **official league fixture** (Regular season, Matchday 29), so motivation and line-ups should be close to optimal unless affected by schedule pressure.
- **Injuries/suspensions:** No concrete absences provided in the data; consider this a **structural uncertainty** that could move the draw/away probabilities if late team news is unfavorable for the host.
- **Home advantage & travel/fatigue:** Non-neutral ground; Bragantino’s home edge supports the 1. Travel distance/weather not provided, so not priced in strongly.
- **H2H & matchup tendencies:** In 6 recent H2Hs Bragantino lead (3W-2D-1L), but Mirassol have shown they can take points (two recent draws; one recent Mirassol home win). That keeps the **draw** meaningfully alive.
- **Goals market:** H2H average total goals ~2.33 suggests a near-coinflip around 2.5; BTTS odds also imply a decent chance both score, so slight lean to **Over 2.5** but not strong.
- **Bookmaker odds:** 1.71 / 3.50 / 4.50 implies roughly **55% / 27% / 21%** after margin; the forecast stays close, with a small shift away from the away win due to home strength and typical league dynamics.
- **Corners/cards/penalty:** Expect Bragantino to generate more attacking sequences (supporting **Over 9.5 corners**). Cards lean under 5 given no derby flag and no special rivalry indicators. Penalty probability set at a standard mid-range for top-flight matches.
X: 26%
2: 19%
Goals over 2.5: 52%
Goals under 2.5: 48%
Corners over 9.5: 58%
Corners under 9.5: 42%
Cards over 5: 28%
Cards under 5: 72%
Penalty: 15-20%
**Brief explanation (key factors):**
- **Squad strength/quality:** Bragantino project-wise typically has the stronger overall squad and depth, which aligns with them being clear favorites at home.
- **Match type:** This is an **official league fixture** (Regular season, Matchday 29), so motivation and line-ups should be close to optimal unless affected by schedule pressure.
- **Injuries/suspensions:** No concrete absences provided in the data; consider this a **structural uncertainty** that could move the draw/away probabilities if late team news is unfavorable for the host.
- **Home advantage & travel/fatigue:** Non-neutral ground; Bragantino’s home edge supports the 1. Travel distance/weather not provided, so not priced in strongly.
- **H2H & matchup tendencies:** In 6 recent H2Hs Bragantino lead (3W-2D-1L), but Mirassol have shown they can take points (two recent draws; one recent Mirassol home win). That keeps the **draw** meaningfully alive.
- **Goals market:** H2H average total goals ~2.33 suggests a near-coinflip around 2.5; BTTS odds also imply a decent chance both score, so slight lean to **Over 2.5** but not strong.
- **Bookmaker odds:** 1.71 / 3.50 / 4.50 implies roughly **55% / 27% / 21%** after margin; the forecast stays close, with a small shift away from the away win due to home strength and typical league dynamics.
- **Corners/cards/penalty:** Expect Bragantino to generate more attacking sequences (supporting **Over 9.5 corners**). Cards lean under 5 given no derby flag and no special rivalry indicators. Penalty probability set at a standard mid-range for top-flight matches.