Liga F
Costa Adeje Tenerife
Anfitrión
VS
Logroño United
Invitado
04.10.2026 13:00
Victoria local
1.75
Empate
3.30
Victoria visitante
4.20
Pronóstico de IA
1: 53%
X: 27%
2: 20%
Goals over 2.5: 34%
Goals under 2.5: 66%
Corners over 9.5: 52%
Corners under 9.5: 48%
Cards over 5: 22%
Cards under 5: 78%
Penalty: 16-20%
**Brief explanation (key factors):**
- **Squad strength / baseline quality:** Costa Adeje Tenerife look the stronger and more stable side overall, reflected in both historical edge and market pricing. Logroño United are competitive but typically a level below away from home in this matchup.
- **Match type:** Regular-season fixture (Matchday 6), so it should be approached seriously—less experimentation than in a friendly.
- **Injuries / suspensions:** No reliable injury/suspension list provided here, so this is treated as **unknown** and not baked in as a major swing factor.
- **Home advantage / travel / fatigue:** Tenerife’s home edge is meaningful, while Logroño’s travel to the Canary Islands is one of the longer domestic trips—small extra tilt toward the home team (even if not quantified in your data).
- **H2H and style of outcomes:** Head-to-head is low-scoring on average (1.75 goals), with Tenerife leading (4W-3D-1L) and winning the most recent meeting 1–0 away. This supports **Under 2.5** and a higher home win probability than the raw odds alone might suggest.
- **Motivation / table context:** Early season (round 6) usually means points matter, but not “must-win” desperation—draw probability remains material.
- **Rotations / structural risks:** No schedule congestion data provided; assuming normal rotation. If Tenerife rotate heavily, the draw risk increases.
- **Bookmaker odds check:** 1.75 / 3.3 / 4.2 implies roughly **52–53% / 27–28% / 21%** after margin normalization; the 1X2 probabilities above are closely aligned, with a slight lean toward Tenerife given H2H + travel factor.
X: 27%
2: 20%
Goals over 2.5: 34%
Goals under 2.5: 66%
Corners over 9.5: 52%
Corners under 9.5: 48%
Cards over 5: 22%
Cards under 5: 78%
Penalty: 16-20%
**Brief explanation (key factors):**
- **Squad strength / baseline quality:** Costa Adeje Tenerife look the stronger and more stable side overall, reflected in both historical edge and market pricing. Logroño United are competitive but typically a level below away from home in this matchup.
- **Match type:** Regular-season fixture (Matchday 6), so it should be approached seriously—less experimentation than in a friendly.
- **Injuries / suspensions:** No reliable injury/suspension list provided here, so this is treated as **unknown** and not baked in as a major swing factor.
- **Home advantage / travel / fatigue:** Tenerife’s home edge is meaningful, while Logroño’s travel to the Canary Islands is one of the longer domestic trips—small extra tilt toward the home team (even if not quantified in your data).
- **H2H and style of outcomes:** Head-to-head is low-scoring on average (1.75 goals), with Tenerife leading (4W-3D-1L) and winning the most recent meeting 1–0 away. This supports **Under 2.5** and a higher home win probability than the raw odds alone might suggest.
- **Motivation / table context:** Early season (round 6) usually means points matter, but not “must-win” desperation—draw probability remains material.
- **Rotations / structural risks:** No schedule congestion data provided; assuming normal rotation. If Tenerife rotate heavily, the draw risk increases.
- **Bookmaker odds check:** 1.75 / 3.3 / 4.2 implies roughly **52–53% / 27–28% / 21%** after margin normalization; the 1X2 probabilities above are closely aligned, with a slight lean toward Tenerife given H2H + travel factor.