Allsvenskan
Degerfors IF
Anfitrión
VS
Hammarby IF
Invitado
20.09.2026 17:30
Victoria local
8.21
Empate
5.16
Victoria visitante
1.30
Pronóstico de IA
1: 11%
X: 18%
2: 71%
Голове над 2.5: 58%
Голове под 2.5: 42%
Корнери над 9.5: 53%
Корнери под 9.5: 47%
Картони над 5: 24%
Картони под 5: 76%
Дузпа: 16-20%
**Brief explanation (key factors):**
- **Squad strength / baseline quality:** Hammarby have the clearly stronger roster and higher overall team level; Degerfors profile more like a bottom-side in this matchup.
- **Match type:** This is an **official league match** (Regular season, Matchday 22), so motivation and best-available lineups are more likely than in a friendly.
- **Injuries / suspensions:** No concrete absentee list is provided here; treat as **unknown** (main uncertainty/risk to the projection).
- **Home/away, travel, schedule fatigue:** Not flagged as neutral; Degerfors get home advantage, but it’s not enough to offset the quality gap. With no travel distance and no congested schedule data, fatigue impact is assumed **moderate/normal**.
- **H2H and recent meeting:** Head-to-head is heavily one-sided (Degerfors **0 wins in 9**, Hammarby **7 wins**, high scoring average). The most recent match ended **Hammarby 4–0 Degerfors**, reinforcing the away edge and the “over” lean.
- **Importance / table motivation:** Late-season round suggests points matter; the stronger side typically keeps intensity, especially if chasing European places or title positions (exact standings not given).
- **Rotation / structural risks:** Possible rotation is the main risk—especially if Hammarby have parallel commitments—but no such info is provided; base case assumes a strong XI.
- **Bookmakers’ odds:** Odds imply a very high away win probability (Away 1.30 vs Home 8.21). After normalization, they point to roughly **~70% away win**, consistent with the 1X2 percentages above.
- **Totals, corners, cards, penalty:** Over 2.5 is favored due to matchup history and the away team’s scoring potential. Corners slightly lean over (away pressure). Cards lean under 5 (Swedish league typically not extreme; derby flag is false). Penalty chance kept moderate (~16–20%).
X: 18%
2: 71%
Голове над 2.5: 58%
Голове под 2.5: 42%
Корнери над 9.5: 53%
Корнери под 9.5: 47%
Картони над 5: 24%
Картони под 5: 76%
Дузпа: 16-20%
**Brief explanation (key factors):**
- **Squad strength / baseline quality:** Hammarby have the clearly stronger roster and higher overall team level; Degerfors profile more like a bottom-side in this matchup.
- **Match type:** This is an **official league match** (Regular season, Matchday 22), so motivation and best-available lineups are more likely than in a friendly.
- **Injuries / suspensions:** No concrete absentee list is provided here; treat as **unknown** (main uncertainty/risk to the projection).
- **Home/away, travel, schedule fatigue:** Not flagged as neutral; Degerfors get home advantage, but it’s not enough to offset the quality gap. With no travel distance and no congested schedule data, fatigue impact is assumed **moderate/normal**.
- **H2H and recent meeting:** Head-to-head is heavily one-sided (Degerfors **0 wins in 9**, Hammarby **7 wins**, high scoring average). The most recent match ended **Hammarby 4–0 Degerfors**, reinforcing the away edge and the “over” lean.
- **Importance / table motivation:** Late-season round suggests points matter; the stronger side typically keeps intensity, especially if chasing European places or title positions (exact standings not given).
- **Rotation / structural risks:** Possible rotation is the main risk—especially if Hammarby have parallel commitments—but no such info is provided; base case assumes a strong XI.
- **Bookmakers’ odds:** Odds imply a very high away win probability (Away 1.30 vs Home 8.21). After normalization, they point to roughly **~70% away win**, consistent with the 1X2 percentages above.
- **Totals, corners, cards, penalty:** Over 2.5 is favored due to matchup history and the away team’s scoring potential. Corners slightly lean over (away pressure). Cards lean under 5 (Swedish league typically not extreme; derby flag is false). Penalty chance kept moderate (~16–20%).