Premier League
Everton
Anfitrión
VS
Ipswich Town
Invitado
19.09.2026 17:00
Victoria local
1.76
Empate
3.75
Victoria visitante
4.36
Pronóstico de IA
1: 54%
X: 25%
2: 21%
Goals over 2.5: 54%
Goals under 2.5: 46%
Corners over 9.5: 56%
Corners under 9.5: 44%
Cards over 5: 28%
Cards under 5: 72%
Penalty: 16-20%
**Brief explanation (key factors):**
- **Squad strength / baseline quality:** Everton’s baseline Premier League quality and depth at home is typically higher than Ipswich’s, giving Everton the edge in most matchups, especially over 90 minutes.
- **Match type & motivation:** This is an **official league match** (regular season, Matchday 5), so both teams should prioritize points; that generally reduces “experimental” lineups compared to friendlies.
- **Injuries/suspensions:** No reliable, confirmed list provided here; treat this as a **structural uncertainty** that can shift probabilities close to kickoff (especially if a key striker/CB is out).
- **Home advantage / travel / fatigue:** Everton at Goodison (non-neutral) is a meaningful boost. Mid-September scheduling usually isn’t extreme fatigue, but early-season rotation risk remains if either side has congested weeks.
- **Head-to-head & recent meetings:** Recent H2H includes **Everton 2–2 Ipswich (2025)** and **Ipswich 0–2 Everton (2024)**. Overall H2H is fairly balanced historically, but Everton’s recent results in this pairing support a home-lean.
- **Odds signal (market view):** Bookmaker prices strongly favor Everton (1.76 vs 4.36). Converting odds to implied probabilities (and normalizing) suggests roughly **~54% home / ~25% draw / ~22% away**, which aligns with the 1X2 forecast.
- **Goals & game state:** Market totals lean slightly to **Over 2.5** (1.73), and BTTS “Yes” is also favored (1.67), so a 2-1 / 2-0 / 2-2 type distribution is plausible.
- **Cards/corners/penalty:** Not a derby, referee not specified; that supports **under 5 cards** as the base case. Corners over 9.5 is slightly favored due to typical Premier League tempo and Everton likely controlling territory. Penalty probability kept in a normal EPL range (~16–20%).
X: 25%
2: 21%
Goals over 2.5: 54%
Goals under 2.5: 46%
Corners over 9.5: 56%
Corners under 9.5: 44%
Cards over 5: 28%
Cards under 5: 72%
Penalty: 16-20%
**Brief explanation (key factors):**
- **Squad strength / baseline quality:** Everton’s baseline Premier League quality and depth at home is typically higher than Ipswich’s, giving Everton the edge in most matchups, especially over 90 minutes.
- **Match type & motivation:** This is an **official league match** (regular season, Matchday 5), so both teams should prioritize points; that generally reduces “experimental” lineups compared to friendlies.
- **Injuries/suspensions:** No reliable, confirmed list provided here; treat this as a **structural uncertainty** that can shift probabilities close to kickoff (especially if a key striker/CB is out).
- **Home advantage / travel / fatigue:** Everton at Goodison (non-neutral) is a meaningful boost. Mid-September scheduling usually isn’t extreme fatigue, but early-season rotation risk remains if either side has congested weeks.
- **Head-to-head & recent meetings:** Recent H2H includes **Everton 2–2 Ipswich (2025)** and **Ipswich 0–2 Everton (2024)**. Overall H2H is fairly balanced historically, but Everton’s recent results in this pairing support a home-lean.
- **Odds signal (market view):** Bookmaker prices strongly favor Everton (1.76 vs 4.36). Converting odds to implied probabilities (and normalizing) suggests roughly **~54% home / ~25% draw / ~22% away**, which aligns with the 1X2 forecast.
- **Goals & game state:** Market totals lean slightly to **Over 2.5** (1.73), and BTTS “Yes” is also favored (1.67), so a 2-1 / 2-0 / 2-2 type distribution is plausible.
- **Cards/corners/penalty:** Not a derby, referee not specified; that supports **under 5 cards** as the base case. Corners over 9.5 is slightly favored due to typical Premier League tempo and Everton likely controlling territory. Penalty probability kept in a normal EPL range (~16–20%).