Yeovil Town

1: 50%
X: 26%
2: 24%
Голове над 2.5: 55%
Голове под 2.5: 45%
Корнери над 9.5: 58%
Корнери под 9.5: 42%
Картони над 5: 28%
Картони под 5: 72%
Дузпа: 15-20%

**Brief explanation (key factors):**
- **Squad strength / baseline quality:** The market prices Yeovil as the stronger side at home (1.75 vs 3.90), implying a clear but not overwhelming edge.
- **Match type & motivation:** Regular-season fixture (Matchday 9) → full-intensity lineups more likely than in a friendly, with points importance early in the season.
- **H2H & matchup profile:** Historically tight overall (many draws), but recent meetings swing sharply (Yeovil 1–4 Solihull in April 2026; Yeovil also has away wins in 2025). That volatility supports a meaningful draw probability plus some away upset chance.
- **Home advantage / travel / conditions:** Non-neutral ground; rain and moderate wind favor a slightly messier game (more transitions/second balls), which can lift corners and keep goal volatility reasonable.
- **Injuries/suspensions & rotation risk:** No confirmed absences/referee data provided, so no adjustment for missing key players; as it’s league play, heavy rotation risk is moderate rather than high.
- **Goals markets:** Odds suggest a moderate-to-good chance of 3+ goals (Over 2.5 at 1.67), and BTTS “Yes” is also priced as slightly more likely than “No,” hence Over 2.5 at ~55%.
- **Discipline:** Typical for this level without derby/referee signals—lean to **under 5 cards**. Penalty remains a low-probability event (15–20%).