Ligue 2
Annecy FC
Anfitrión
VS
Dijon
Invitado
18.09.2026 21:00
Victoria local
2.06
Empate
3.37
Victoria visitante
3.19
Pronóstico de IA
1: 46%
X: 28%
2: 26%
Голове над 2.5: 50%
Голове под 2.5: 50%
Корнери над 9.5: 54%
Корнери под 9.5: 46%
Картони над 5: 32%
Картони под 5: 68%
Дузпа: 16-20%
**Brief explanation (key factors):**
- **Squad strength / baseline quality:** Annecy have a slight overall edge at home; Dijon are competitive but priced as the underdog.
- **Match type:** This is an **official league match** (regular season, Matchday 7), so normal intensity and best-available lineups are more likely than in a friendly.
- **Injuries/suspensions:** No reliable list is provided here, so this is a **known uncertainty** (can shift probabilities late if key starters are out).
- **Home advantage / travel / fatigue:** Annecy benefit from home conditions; early-season scheduling usually means **manageable fatigue**, with a mild advantage to the home side.
- **H2H & tendencies:** Limited H2H (2 games) slightly favors Annecy (1W, 1D, Dijon 0W). Not enough to dominate the model, but supports a small home lean.
- **Motivation / standings pressure:** As a **round 7** league fixture, points matter; typically reduces the chance of reckless rotations and keeps the draw probability meaningful.
- **Rotation/structural risks:** Moderate—early season rotations happen, but less than in cup weeks; main risk is unknown availability.
- **Bookmaker odds influence:** Market odds imply roughly **Home ~47% / Draw ~29% / Away ~30%** before margin; I shade **slightly toward Annecy** and trim away win probability a bit given home edge + H2H.
- **Goals/corners/cards/penalty:** The O/U 2.5 market is near 50/50; corners lean slightly over due to typical match dynamics and pricing; cards lean under 5 without derby/referee-risk signals; penalty probability stays in the mid-to-high teens.
X: 28%
2: 26%
Голове над 2.5: 50%
Голове под 2.5: 50%
Корнери над 9.5: 54%
Корнери под 9.5: 46%
Картони над 5: 32%
Картони под 5: 68%
Дузпа: 16-20%
**Brief explanation (key factors):**
- **Squad strength / baseline quality:** Annecy have a slight overall edge at home; Dijon are competitive but priced as the underdog.
- **Match type:** This is an **official league match** (regular season, Matchday 7), so normal intensity and best-available lineups are more likely than in a friendly.
- **Injuries/suspensions:** No reliable list is provided here, so this is a **known uncertainty** (can shift probabilities late if key starters are out).
- **Home advantage / travel / fatigue:** Annecy benefit from home conditions; early-season scheduling usually means **manageable fatigue**, with a mild advantage to the home side.
- **H2H & tendencies:** Limited H2H (2 games) slightly favors Annecy (1W, 1D, Dijon 0W). Not enough to dominate the model, but supports a small home lean.
- **Motivation / standings pressure:** As a **round 7** league fixture, points matter; typically reduces the chance of reckless rotations and keeps the draw probability meaningful.
- **Rotation/structural risks:** Moderate—early season rotations happen, but less than in cup weeks; main risk is unknown availability.
- **Bookmaker odds influence:** Market odds imply roughly **Home ~47% / Draw ~29% / Away ~30%** before margin; I shade **slightly toward Annecy** and trim away win probability a bit given home edge + H2H.
- **Goals/corners/cards/penalty:** The O/U 2.5 market is near 50/50; corners lean slightly over due to typical match dynamics and pricing; cards lean under 5 without derby/referee-risk signals; penalty probability stays in the mid-to-high teens.