Allsvenskan
Mjällby AIF
Хозяин
VS
GAIS
Гость
20.09.2026 17:30
Победа хозяев
2.84
Ничья
3.40
Победа гостей
2.28
Прогноз ИИ
1: 33%
X: 29%
2: 38%
Голове над 2.5: 48%
Голове под 2.5: 52%
Корнери над 9.5: 56%
Корнери под 9.5: 44%
Картони над 5: 24%
Картони под 5: 76%
Дузпа: 15-20%
**Brief explanation (key factors):**
- **Squad strength / base quality:** The market prices GAIS as the slightly stronger side overall, despite being away, which usually implies better current level or depth versus Mjällby.
- **Match type:** This is an **official league match** (Regular season, Matchday 22), so motivation and intensity should be normal-to-high compared to a friendly.
- **Injuries/suspensions:** No reliable list provided here; treat as **unknown risk** that can move probabilities close to kickoff (especially if either team misses a key striker/CB).
- **Home advantage / travel / fatigue:** Mjällby get the home boost, but GAIS’ away win price still being shorter suggests travel is not considered a major negative by bookmakers. Weather looks mild (around 16°C, moderate wind), so no strong external skew.
- **H2H and form signal:** Recent H2H is **draw-heavy and tight** (0-0, 1-1, 1-1 in several recent meetings), which supports a relatively high draw probability and a slight lean to **Under 2.5**.
- **Importance / table motivation:** Late-season round typically increases the value of points; unless one side is fully safe, expect disciplined setups—again mildly favoring fewer goals.
- **Rotation / structural risks:** With no calendar data provided, rotation risk is **medium** (late season), but not enough to override the market edge toward GAIS.
- **Bookmaker odds (implied):** Odds lean to **Away (2)** as most likely, with draw next, then home—so the 1X2 percentages follow that shape while still respecting Mjällby’s home factor.
X: 29%
2: 38%
Голове над 2.5: 48%
Голове под 2.5: 52%
Корнери над 9.5: 56%
Корнери под 9.5: 44%
Картони над 5: 24%
Картони под 5: 76%
Дузпа: 15-20%
**Brief explanation (key factors):**
- **Squad strength / base quality:** The market prices GAIS as the slightly stronger side overall, despite being away, which usually implies better current level or depth versus Mjällby.
- **Match type:** This is an **official league match** (Regular season, Matchday 22), so motivation and intensity should be normal-to-high compared to a friendly.
- **Injuries/suspensions:** No reliable list provided here; treat as **unknown risk** that can move probabilities close to kickoff (especially if either team misses a key striker/CB).
- **Home advantage / travel / fatigue:** Mjällby get the home boost, but GAIS’ away win price still being shorter suggests travel is not considered a major negative by bookmakers. Weather looks mild (around 16°C, moderate wind), so no strong external skew.
- **H2H and form signal:** Recent H2H is **draw-heavy and tight** (0-0, 1-1, 1-1 in several recent meetings), which supports a relatively high draw probability and a slight lean to **Under 2.5**.
- **Importance / table motivation:** Late-season round typically increases the value of points; unless one side is fully safe, expect disciplined setups—again mildly favoring fewer goals.
- **Rotation / structural risks:** With no calendar data provided, rotation risk is **medium** (late season), but not enough to override the market edge toward GAIS.
- **Bookmaker odds (implied):** Odds lean to **Away (2)** as most likely, with draw next, then home—so the 1X2 percentages follow that shape while still respecting Mjällby’s home factor.