Coupe de France
Paris 13 Atletico
Хозяин
VS
Red Star FC
Гость
15.11.2026 13:00
Победа хозяев
6.00
Ничья
3.50
Победа гостей
1.50
Прогноз ИИ
1: 14%
X: 24%
2: 62%
Goals over 2.5: 52%
Goals under 2.5: 48%
Corners over 9.5: 54%
Corners under 9.5: 46%
Cards over 5: 28%
Cards under 5: 72%
Penalty: 15-20%
**Brief explanation:**
- **Squad strength / quality:** Red Star FC project as the clearly stronger side overall (deeper squad, higher baseline quality), while Paris 13 Atletico are typically a lower-tier opponent in this matchup profile—hence the strong away-win lean.
- **Match type:** This is an **official league fixture** (Round 7), so motivation and intensity should be normal-to-high, not experimental like a friendly.
- **Injuries / suspensions:** No reliable, confirmed absences are provided here; the forecast assumes **no major unexpected lineup shocks**. If Red Star miss key attackers/CBs, draw probability rises.
- **Home/away factors & fatigue:** Travel is minimal (both from the Paris area), so **little travel fatigue**; home advantage exists but is muted versus the quality gap.
- **Form & H2H:** Head-to-head and recent form are not included, so weighting is placed more on **market odds and baseline team strength** than on streaks.
- **Motivation / table importance:** Early-season round—teams still accumulating points; Red Star likely targets promotion/upper positions, supporting a “must-take-3-points” approach.
- **Rotation risks:** With no schedule info, rotation risk is judged **moderate-low**; however, if this sits between tougher fixtures, Red Star could rotate slightly—most affecting the “2” probability downward a bit and nudging totals down.
- **Bookmaker odds (key driver):** 6.00 / 3.50 / 1.50 implies roughly **16% / 27% / 62%** before margin adjustment; the final 1X2 forecast closely follows that, with a small shift from draw to home due to typical league variance.
- **Totals, corners, cards, penalty:** Odds suggest a moderate scoring environment (Over 2.5 slightly favored). Corners lean over due to the stronger side likely producing sustained pressure. Cards lean under 5 given no derby flag and typically controlled professional league profiles; penalty remains in the standard 15–20% band.
X: 24%
2: 62%
Goals over 2.5: 52%
Goals under 2.5: 48%
Corners over 9.5: 54%
Corners under 9.5: 46%
Cards over 5: 28%
Cards under 5: 72%
Penalty: 15-20%
**Brief explanation:**
- **Squad strength / quality:** Red Star FC project as the clearly stronger side overall (deeper squad, higher baseline quality), while Paris 13 Atletico are typically a lower-tier opponent in this matchup profile—hence the strong away-win lean.
- **Match type:** This is an **official league fixture** (Round 7), so motivation and intensity should be normal-to-high, not experimental like a friendly.
- **Injuries / suspensions:** No reliable, confirmed absences are provided here; the forecast assumes **no major unexpected lineup shocks**. If Red Star miss key attackers/CBs, draw probability rises.
- **Home/away factors & fatigue:** Travel is minimal (both from the Paris area), so **little travel fatigue**; home advantage exists but is muted versus the quality gap.
- **Form & H2H:** Head-to-head and recent form are not included, so weighting is placed more on **market odds and baseline team strength** than on streaks.
- **Motivation / table importance:** Early-season round—teams still accumulating points; Red Star likely targets promotion/upper positions, supporting a “must-take-3-points” approach.
- **Rotation risks:** With no schedule info, rotation risk is judged **moderate-low**; however, if this sits between tougher fixtures, Red Star could rotate slightly—most affecting the “2” probability downward a bit and nudging totals down.
- **Bookmaker odds (key driver):** 6.00 / 3.50 / 1.50 implies roughly **16% / 27% / 62%** before margin adjustment; the final 1X2 forecast closely follows that, with a small shift from draw to home due to typical league variance.
- **Totals, corners, cards, penalty:** Odds suggest a moderate scoring environment (Over 2.5 slightly favored). Corners lean over due to the stronger side likely producing sustained pressure. Cards lean under 5 given no derby flag and typically controlled professional league profiles; penalty remains in the standard 15–20% band.